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Gloom as World Bank Predicts Sharpest Decline of Remittances in Recent History

Gloom as World Bank Predicts Sharpest Decline of Remittances in Recent History

The World Bank projects global remittances to decline sharply by about 20 percent in 2020 due to the economic crisis induced by the COVID-19 pandemic and shutdown.

According to the World Bank, the projected fall, which would be the sharpest decline in recent history, is largely due to a fall in the wages and employment of migrant workers, who tend to be more vulnerable to loss of employment and wages during an economic crisis in a host country.

“Remittances to low and middle-income countries (LMICs) are projected to fall by 19.7 percent to $445 billion, representing a loss of a crucial financing lifeline for many vulnerable households,” the World Bank announced in a statement.  

It stated that studies showed that remittances alleviated poverty in lower- and middle-income countries, improved nutritional outcomes, were associated with higher spending on education, and reduced child labour in disadvantaged households.

“A fall in remittances affects families’ ability to spend on these areas as more of their finances will be directed to solve food shortages and immediate livelihoods needs,” the statement added.

“Remittances are a vital source of income for developing countries. The ongoing economic recession caused by COVID-19 is taking a severe toll on the ability to send money home and makes it all the more vital that we shorten the time to recovery for advanced economies,” said World Bank Group President David Malpass.

He added: “Remittances help families afford food, healthcare, and basic needs. As the World Bank Group implements fast, broad action to support countries, we are working to keep remittance channels open and safeguard the poorest communities’ access to these most basic needs.”

The World Bank says it is “assisting member states in monitoring the flow of remittances through various channels, the costs and convenience of sending money, and regulations to protect financial integrity that affect remittance flows,” while also working with the G20 countries and the global community to reduce remittance costs and improve financial inclusion for the poor.

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